
The Iran war is "testing the resilience of the global economy," and is set to dampen economic growth this year, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) said in a report released on Thursday.
Global growth is forecast to slow to 2.9% this year before edging back up to 3.0% in 2027, according to the OECD.
The unpredictable trajectory of the Middle East conflict was driving up costs and dampening demand, offsetting the positive impetus from investment in new technologies and the momentum carried over from the previous year, it said.
The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and damage to energy infrastructure had caused a sharp rise in energy prices and disrupted supplies of other key materials such as fertilizer, according to the OECD.
The scale and duration of the conflict were highly uncertain, but a prolonged period of higher energy prices would significantly increase costs for businesses and consumer prices, with negative consequences for growth, the OECD said.
The "evolving conflict [...] generates significant uncertainty around global demand," it said.
In the US, growth is expected to slow from 2.0% this year to 1.7% next year, the OECD forecast, as strong investment in artificial intelligence is gradually offset by a slowdown in income growth and consumer spending.
In the eurozone, the OECD expects growth to slow to 0.8% this year before recovering to 1.2% in 2027, boosted by higher defence spending.
In China, growth is projected to fall to 4.4% in 2026 and 4.3% in 2027.
The conflict was also weighing on the growth of the German economy, which the OECD said would grow by only 0.8% this year - 0.2 percentage points less than forecast in its previous economic outlook in December.
Growth of 1.5% is still expected for 2027, unchanged from the previous forecast.
latest_posts
- 1
Iran steps up executions as experts warn state killing being used to suppress political dissent - 2
New science points to 4 distinct types of autism - 3
The Extraordinary Excursion of Dental Embed Innovation - 4
Building a Maintainable Closet: Individual Excursions in Moral Style - 5
A quick recap of 'Stranger Things' Seasons 1-4, plus key episodes to rewatch before Volume 1 of the final season drops
The Strait of Hormuz Isn’t Just an Oil Problem, It’s Now a Food Problem
Vote In favor of Your Favored Shades
Find the Keys to Fruitful Venture The board: Conveying Results on Time
The Developing Nearby Food Development and Its Advantages
Director of Swiss hospital describes the rush to treat the injured from Alpine resort bar fire
BioMarin to acquire Amicus Therapeutics for $4.8 billion in rare disease bet
Vote In favor of Your Favored Sort Of Dress
'Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen' is the Duffer Brothers' first project since 'Stranger Things.' It's also 'wildly insane.'
Fuel Price Spike Drives Surge in Used EV Sales in Europe











